Hartlepool remained red in 2019 as neighbouring areas backed the Conservatives for the first time. Hartlepool has been regarded by Labour as a safe seat, a sure-fire brick in the "Red Wall" and a constituency into which it was considered acceptable for … The Hartlepools was enfranchised as a borough constituency by the Reform Act 1867, being given one MP. The race is looking tight in the Leave-backing constituency of Hartlepool. 2021 polling conducted by Survation.Labour's vote share (and majority) in 2019 were larger than in the 2015 general election. w/ 03 Apr. When you subscribe we will use the information you provide to send you these newsletters. Before then it was known as The Hartlepools, which Labour held from 1964. The next Labour leader betting exploded into life after it became clear the Conservatives had won the Hartlepool by-election. The Hartlepool constituency was created in 1974 and has been Labour since that date. Hartlepool Constituency Poll. We are fighting for every vote there and I know that every vote has to be earned and that’s why I’ve been in Hartlepool three times in the campaign and we’ve got teams on the ground.”. The Tories have been odds-on to win the seat - which Labour has held since 1964 - for weeks but today the price shortened significantly with Keir Starmer's party drifting to 4.67/2. A hung parliament is the favoured outcome at the next general election, with the Conservatives odds-on to win most seats. Mr Corbyn went into the 2019 campaign with the lowest net satisfaction rate of any opposition leader since the late 1970s, according to polling firm Ipsos More. Licence Number: MGA/CL2/294/2006 12 March 2013, and for customers in the UK, licensed and regulated by the Gambling Commission, Licence Number: 000-039439-R-319330-007. Sometimes they'll include recommendations for other related newsletters or services we offer. See today's front and back pages, download the newspaper, order back issues and use the historic Daily Express newspaper archive. Conservatives poised to win Hartlepool After Tuesday morning’s polling results were released for the Hartlepool by-election (Survation), bookies have now slashed odds for the Conservatives winning the seat to as short as 1/7. Among older voters, Labour campaigners said his past support for the IRA came up repeatedly on doorsteps of voters, while in London an antisemitism dispute within the party and a lack of apology or acknowledgement from Mr Corbyn took centre stage. If it were held tomorrow, the answer would be pretty easy: the Labour Party. Ladbrokes, the nations favorite place to bet DON'T MISSHartlepool set to stun Labour with Northern Independence Party [ANALYSIS]GMB's Adil Ray delivers cruel blow to Labour in election debate [REPORT]'It's insulting' Labour have chosen a Remainer for Hartlepool election [INSIGHT], Here's Labour's share of the vote in Hartlepool from 1992-present. Deposit, opt in and place a £10 qualifying bet at odds of 2.00 or … Hartlepool’s Corrine Winwood, 39, told the Guardian she believed the Conservatives would finally snag Hartlepool for the first time, saying: “The town is full of people who are fed up and have had enough and want a change, and they will try make that change any way they can.”. Bet on Politics or find the latest Political odds. Brexit Party chairman Richard Tice has revealed he will run in Hartlepool in the upcoming election. Hartlepool, a constituency the party won 14 times in a row since its creation, has fallen to Boris Johnson’s Conservatives. The Labour leader said: “I hope we won’t lose Hartlepool. Hartlepool’s residents will head out to their local polling station on Thursday as they vote for both their local representative on the council, which is currently a coalition between Independents and Conservatives, as well as a new MP following a by-election after former Labour representative Mike Hill stood down following sexual harassment allegations. READ MORE: London Mayor candidate outlines bold proposal to turn capital green. In contrast, Sir Keir had a net rating of minus 18 – but it’s worth taking these figures with a pinch of salt as the Survation poll has a tiny sample size, around two thirds smaller than most political surveys so it’s likely to be significantly less accurate. BETFAIR ® and the BETFAIR logo are registered trade marks of The Sporting Exchange Limited. See the candidates and latest news in your constituency. One of the biggest Brexit-backing towns in the country, the Brexit Party won a quarter of the votes in this coastal town in the … 18+ New Customers only. The Tories have been odds-on to win the seat - which Labour has held since 1964 - for weeks but today the price shortened significantly with Keir Starmer's party drifting to 4.67/2. Jeremy Corbyn, the party leader before Sir Keir, was another reason for Labour’s downfall in recent years as his lack of popularity outside metropolitan London cost Labour very dearly. Hartlepool, constituency voting intention:CON: 50% (+1)LAB: 33% (-9)IND (Walker): 6% (+4)IND (Lee): 6% (+6)GRN: 3% (+2)REFUK: 1% (-)via @Survation, 23 - 29 AprChgs. For customers in the UK, TSE Malta LP is licensed and regulated by the Gambling Commission, Licence Number: 000-039561-R-319411-005. The bookies have shortened their odds on a victory for the Conservatives to as low as 4/6, while Labour’s odds have drifted to 13/10, according to betting aggregator Oddschecker. Votes listed for 'Other' are calculated by taking the votes from the main parties and 'Minor' away from the total votes cast. Max Liu has the details... "The odds on … ... Starmer has been truly dreadful, unfortunately 85% of the parties MPs are at odds with traditional Labour values.. it doesn't look like things are going to change any time soon. You can unsubscribe at any time. See the candidates and results in your constituency. Latest Hartlepool by-election odds revealed for the 16 candidates ... who retained the constituency by a margin of 3,595 votes at the December 2019 General Election, in March. The Party is still trying to recover from this disastrous loss, but it doesn’t look like Hartlepool will be Labour’s saving grace. Hopes of a Labour revival under Sir Keir Starmer have suffered a blow after the Conservative Party comfortably won the Hartlepool by-election. ODDS ON. Scottish Election Odds: Betting swing makes no SNP majority odds-on, Boris Johnson Odds: Price shortens on 2021 exit amid wallpapergate, Exchange Simulator - try without risking real money, MatchMe - Making it easier to get your bet matched, In-running betting on Horse Racing: Five things you need to know, Feedback wanted! The constituency is viewed as one of the party's most winnable seats. The latest Hartlepool by-election odds from the Betfair Exchange show bettors heavily backing the Conservatives following a shock poll says Max Liu... "The Tories have been odds-on to win the seat for weeks but today their price shortened significantly with Keir Starmer's party drifting to 4.67/2.". The Leave-supporting North East constituency went blue for the first time in its 47-year-old history, as Boris Johnson demolished another brick in Labour’s so-called “red wall”. Express. The poll shows voters abandoning Labour, which won the seat by just under 3000 votes in the general election of 2019, and flocking to independent candidates, as the Tories and Green Party increase their support too. The Conservatives have never won Hartlepool, a constituency held by Labour and its red wall since it was created in 1974. Yes, Labour is currently behind in the national polls. Hartlepool has been Labour for nearly six decades. ©The Sporting Exchange Limited. Labour lost a staggering 60 seats in the last general election, largely understood to be due to huge divisions between London and the rest of the country as well as a lack of understanding of the electorate and its changing needs. Fixed Odds & Multiples bets are placed with PPB Counterparty Services Limited which is licensed and regulated by the Malta Gaming Authority. The Labour Party believes its core supporters are holding up well with support in this election, but it’s increasingly concerned about the volatile undecided voters. Hartlepool by-election odds: Conservatives ODDS-ON to win seat following latest poll. The Hartlepool by-election It will be held on 6 May 2021 alongside local elections. All rights reserved. Speaking on Monday night, Mr Johnson emphasised it was still a “massive challenge” for his party to turn Hartlepool blue. Licence Number: MGA/CL3/454/2008 17th March 2015, Triq il-Kappillan Mifsud, St. Venera, SVR 1851, MALTA. For any queries relating to Betting.Betfair, e-mail Copy@betfair.com. Who’ll win it? Results. The failure of Boris Johnson to regain much control of Britain’s fishing stocks may be used locally by Reform UK (the rebranded Brexit Party) in a constituency with good access to North Sea fish but limited quotas to extract them. ... the town of Hartlepool in the north-east of England offers a rare and tantalising treat: a taste of political power. Prince Andrew accused of racist comments by former minister, Keir Starmer set for defeat in Hartlepool as Labour 'can't deliver', Hartlepool election odds: Tories on track for historic win as Labour's red wall crumbles, Hartlepool election odds: Keir Starmer has been campaigning in Hartlepool three times, Owen Jones confronted by Brexiteer over Labour's Remainer candidate, Hartlepool election odds: The Tories look to win Hartlepool for the first time ever, Hartlepool election odds: Election guide for this week, Hartlepool by-election: Tories handed bombshell 17-point lead, London Mayor candidate outlines bold proposal to turn capital green, Hartlepool set to stun Labour with Northern Independence Party, GMB's Adil Ray delivers cruel blow to Labour in election debate, 'It's insulting' Labour have chosen a Remainer for Hartlepool election. Note: Smaller parties may be omitted. Meanwhile, the Tories are still odds-on to win Hartlepool says Max Liu... "With five days to go before the 6 May vote an SNP majority has drifted to 2.285/4on the Betfair Exchange with no majority in to 1.748/11- a 58% chance." Famously in 2002, Hangus The Monkey (aka Stuart Drummond) became Hartlepool's directly elected mayor. 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Hartlepool / ˈ h ɑːr t l ɪ p ʊ l / is a borough constituency represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament by Jill Mortimer of the Conservative Party from 2021. The same poll, based on interviews with 301 people between April 23 and April 29, showed 51 percent of the Hartlepool electorate viewed him favourable while 28 percent viewed him negatively, giving him an overall net favourability rating of plus 23. Odds have the Conservatives in favour of winning Hartlepool as well, with the Tories 1/6 to win compared to Labour’s 7/2. Hartlepool's constituency Labour Party said it would have someone in place "quickly". Here are the most recent election results for the Hartlepool constituency. And make no mistake, this was a thumping: the Tories won 52% of the vote compared to a […] LAB HOLD. Shane Moore, leader of Hartlepool Council, said the feeling on the ground was largely that the Tories would win this by-election, saying it was Labour's election “to lose”. Why does it matter? In a personal boost to the Prime Minister following an unfavourable few weeks shrouded in party scandal and so-called sleaze, a poll by Survation put Conservative candidate Jill Mortimer on track to gain 50 percent of the vote and Labour’s Paul Williams at 33 percent. If the Tories win as predicted this Thursday, it will flat out confirm that the collapse of Labour’s Northern ‘red wall’ isn’t a one-off. Help shape the new Betfair, Hartlepool By-Election: Tories heavy odds-on to win after poll. The Labour MP for Hartlepool, Mike Hill, has resigned, triggering a by-election in his Hartlepool constituency. But it’s a very Brexity constituency. The candidate with the largest vote who does not belong to one of the main parties is listed as 'Minor'. Labour’s worst nightmares have materialised. WE ARE A SECURE OPERATOR | 18+ Gambleaware.co.uk The Labour Party started as favourites to hold on to Hartlepool, however, as of early April, the Conservatives are now odds on favourites. The Conservatives have never won Hartlepool, a constituency held by Labour and its red wall since it was created in 1974. Paul Krishnmaurty provides an in-depth assessment of Johnson's problems and there will be more on Hartlepool and the elections in Scotland and elsewhere, which are all on Thursday, in the next couple of days. Another angle on this lies in the constituency's history of successful outsiders. Can Luciana Berger upset the odds in UK’s most Jewish constituency? Our Privacy Notice explains more about how we use your data, and your rights. They said: "Over the past 10 years Hartlepool has been battered by the Tories down in Westminster. Governments aren’t supposed to win by-elections, let alone absolutely thump the opposition. From starting around 50/50, Betfair’s market now implies the Conservatives are 62 per cent likely to win at odds of 1.6, compared to 38 per cent for Labour at 2.6. By navigating our site, you agree to allow us to use cookies, in accordance with our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. pic.twitter.com/E2wwLXVv4p, “Meanwhile, Labour are 11/4 (26 percent) to retain the seat they won by just under 3,000 votes in the 2019 general election.”. To help personalise content, tailor your experience and help us improve our services, Betfair uses cookies. The current Hartlepool constituency was formed in 1974 and has been held by Labour ever since. The Conservatives are an 83% chance on the Exchangeto win the Hartlepool by-election on Thursday after a poll gave them a 17 point lead over Labour. Alex Apati of Ladbrokes told Express.co.uk: “It’s looking increasingly likely an overwhelming victory for the Conservatives is on the cards in the Hartlepool by-election.”, Mr Apati added: “Elsewhere, Thelma Walker is odds-on to notch up more than 1,000 votes, while 100/1 says she somehow manages to win the election.”. The Conservatives are an 83% chance on the Exchange to win the Hartlepool by-election on Thursday after a poll gave them a 17 point lead over Labour. In 2015, it was one of Ukip’s top target seats and seven out of ten voters from Hartlepool backed Leave in the EU referendum. ... Hartlepool Parliamentary constituency. Bookies have suggested that the contest won't go Labour's way with Coral claiming the Tories are odds-on favourites to win the upcoming by-election at 1 … Boris Johnson's government has been mired in allegations of sleaze and impropriety in recent weeks and the odds on him leaving before 2024 shortened last week. On Monday, Prime Minister Boris Johnson visited Seaton in Hartlepool, a strong suggestion he knows exactly how important this seat is to the Conservatives. It had previously been part of a two-MP electoral division in County Durham . Betfair International Plc is licensed and regulated by the Malta Gaming Authority. 2019 2017. Betfair has the Conservatives at 2/9 for winning Hartlepool and Labour at 11/4. UK Politics: How much trouble is Boris Johnson in? Spokesperson Sam Rosbottom told Express.co.uk: “Odds on Betfair reveal that the Conservatives are the clear favourites to win the Hartlepool by-election with a 2/9 (82 percent) chance of claiming the seat that Labour has held since 1974. The latest bookmaker odds on all 16 Hartlepool by-election candidates Support your Mail and become a subscriber today. 12 hours ago. Correspondence Address: Triq il-Kappillan Mifsud, St. Venera, SVR 1851, MALTA. ... Dr Williams previously represented the nearby constituency of Stockton South from 2017. Shane Moore, leader of Hartlepool Council, said the feeling on the ground was largely that the Tories would win this by-election, saying it was Labour’s election “to lose”. BBC's Laura Kuenssberg 'enraged' Number 10 officials with Boris piece, Boris Johnson arrives in Hartlepool for final by-election push. Local elections in my area: Who is standing in my local election 2021? at best they are completely out of touch without any sense of self awareness. Betfair’s odds show a favourable outcome for the Conservatives as well, suggesting the red wall will be another brick short after Thursday. That's an unbroken stretch of 57 years of Labour representation. Spokesperson Sam Rosbottom told Express.co.uk: “Odds on Betfair reveal that the Conservatives are the clear favourites to win the Hartlepool by … This comes as national voting intention polling published at the weekend showed Labour cutting into the lead that Conservatives have enjoyed since the roll out of the vaccine. Home of the Daily and Sunday Express. The by-election this week will determine whether Hartlepool will also turn Tory. The polling suggests the Conservatives have opened up a sizeable lead in the polls to win the Hartlepool by-election this week, despite Labour’s 2019 victory. 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